Real-world forecasts don't exist in isolation. Inflation affects interest rates. Elections affect policy.
23 Jun 2026, 13:25
Real-world forecasts don't exist in isolation.
Inflation affects interest rates.
Elections affect policy.
A team winning its group reshapes the bracket.
This is a combinatorial information market demo built with deterministic, reproducible probabilistic inference on Cartesi. ↑
A Combinatorial Information Market represents connected variables as a single probabilistic system.
Instead of treating forecasts as isolated markets, it captures the relationships between them.
That unlocks conditional forecasting too: "What if inflation stays above 4%?"
Under the hood, CIM uses a junction tree to perform exact probabilistic inference efficiently.
Related variables are grouped into cliques connected by shared variables. Belief propagation computes exact probabilities by passing information between these local clusters rather than operating on one massive joint table.
Explore the docs and build with Cartesi:
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